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  #1  
Old 06-13-2010, 12:05 PM
Ironside Ironside is offline
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Question Warsaw Pact use of chemical weapons.

Looking through my military references, I was struck by the number of mentions of WP chemical weapons capabilities, compared with their mention in the T2K backstory. As NATO forces only had nukes do people think that NATO would have responded to WP chemical attacks with tactical nuclear weapons?

I know that in the Cold War there was great emphasis placed on NBC defensive tactics but I can't see NATO commanders taking chemical strikes without some form of retaliation. Personally my feeling is that due to such response from NATO, WP forces would probably use chemical strikes in concert with tactical nuclear weapon use for critical operations only.

What are others opinions?
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Old 06-13-2010, 04:40 PM
HorseSoldier HorseSoldier is offline
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The US at least had stocks of chemical weapons available for response but I don't know that they'd be rapidly available (don't think anything was available in theater for instance).

My guess would be chem weapons slammed all over the Chinese front but much more restrained against western forces.
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Old 06-13-2010, 06:44 PM
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I think we have to look at real life for a possible answer. In Gulf War I, it seemed that Sadaam had some WMD of the chemical types, based on evidence from the Kurds. He also knew that if he used them against the US led coalition, we PROBABLY would have turned Bagdad and other places of note into fused glass....Sadamm KNEW that if he sent WMD against Israel....well, let's just say that our guys would not have had to bother picking up any pieces....there wouldn't be any pieces....

A buddy of mine was in GWI. He was with a MASH unit with 82nd Airborne. The unofficial word he heard was if they saw the Israeli Army approaching, they do three things:

1) Run Up a BIG American flag
2) sling longarms over shoulder
3) Wave and Point towards Bagdad

He also heard (You know how rumors are) that the night that Sadaam sent Scuds into Israel, our AWACS saw the ENTIRE Israeli airforce IN THE AIR. One guess where THEY were going. George Bush talked them down. Barely.
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Old 06-13-2010, 08:13 PM
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They say that when SECSTATE Baker met with Tariq Aziz a week before GW I kicked off, he told Aziz that any WMD use would be treated as a nuclear attack on the U.S. and responded to accordingly. "A swift and devastating response" is what U.S. News and World Report said. In 1991, you didn't need to know what that meant: you knew it meant nuclear.
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Old 06-13-2010, 08:50 PM
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He also heard (You know how rumors are) that the night that Sadaam sent Scuds into Israel, our AWACS saw the ENTIRE Israeli airforce IN THE AIR. One guess where THEY were going. George Bush talked them down. Barely.
I understand they stood on the ground except for normal CAP, but we had to make them BIG promises to get them to do that -- supposedly, those promises still shape our foreign policy towards Israel to this day.

We thought the Israelis were going to get into Desert Storm, but we were mushrooms of course at the time. (I was with the 82nd, at A Co. 2/325th).
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Old 06-14-2010, 01:58 AM
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General Sir John Hackett suggests that USAEUR would largely be off-limits to Pact chemical weapons, since use of chemical weapons by both sides tends to slow battlefield progress. Hackett suggests that the US would make chemicals available to the European allies, who would use them against the Pact in retaliation. Pact use of chemical weapons would taper off as soon as forward momentum began to suffer.

There is a fair amount of logic to this. Soviet doctrine for the employment of chemicals involved using non-persistent agents on the defenders at the anticipated point(s) of breakthrough and persistent agents in adjacent areas. If NATO replied in kind by laying persistent agents in front of defended positions, the Soviet infantry would be forced to conduct dismounted attacks in chemical protective gear. Having done a couple of peacetime breaches of minefields in MOPP 4, I can say that I would prefer not to try to make a dismounted attack that way.

Use of chemicals against support troops and headquarters affects everyone, but throughout the Cold War everyone envisioned the Soviets being on the offensive. The attacker suffers disproportionately because he is relying on speed and momentum. How this would have played out in East Germany and Poland is another question.

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Old 06-14-2010, 05:12 AM
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General Sir John Hackett suggests that USAEUR would largely be off-limits to Pact chemical weapons, since use of chemical weapons by both sides tends to slow battlefield progress. Hackett suggests that the US would make chemicals available to the European allies, who would use them against the Pact in retaliation. Pact use of chemical weapons would taper off as soon as forward momentum began to suffer.

There is a fair amount of logic to this. Soviet doctrine for the employment of chemicals involved using non-persistent agents on the defenders at the anticipated point(s) of breakthrough and persistent agents in adjacent areas. If NATO replied in kind by laying persistent agents in front of defended positions, the Soviet infantry would be forced to conduct dismounted attacks in chemical protective gear. Having done a couple of peacetime breaches of minefields in MOPP 4, I can say that I would prefer not to try to make a dismounted attack that way.

Use of chemicals against support troops and headquarters affects everyone, but throughout the Cold War everyone envisioned the Soviets being on the offensive. The attacker suffers disproportionately because he is relying on speed and momentum. How this would have played out in East Germany and Poland is another question.

Webstral
Ironically NATO assumed the Soviets would be the one who attacked, while many in the PACT felt it was NATO who would attack first. Where as the Soviets were mainly sitting on the fence watching for a time to pick off the rest of Europe, again they also were watching too. If they felt NATO or any member was about to attack they were more than willing to launch preemptive strikes, but that another issue all together.
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Old 06-14-2010, 05:49 PM
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The use of chemicals during the NATO drive across Poland also might help explain the apparent slowness of the Allied offensive.

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Old 06-14-2010, 06:15 PM
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If NATO replied in kind by laying persistent agents in front of defended positions, the Soviet infantry would be forced to conduct dismounted attacks in chemical protective gear. Having done a couple of peacetime breaches of minefields in MOPP 4, I can say that I would prefer not to try to make a dismounted attack that way.
And I don't have any first hand experience with the Soviet and Warsaw Pact MOPP gear but in photos it looks a lot worse than Western stuff to have to work in, and on top of that it doesn't look like it provides the same level of protection and coverage. Much as I hate doing most anything at MOPP 4 in US kit, I'm certain it would be even worse in Russian/etc kit.
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Old 06-14-2010, 07:05 PM
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And I don't have any first hand experience with the Soviet and Warsaw Pact MOPP gear but in photos it looks a lot worse than Western stuff to have to work in, and on top of that it doesn't look like it provides the same level of protection and coverage. Much as I hate doing most anything at MOPP 4 in US kit, I'm certain it would be even worse in Russian/etc kit.
I don't know what modern Russian MOPP gear is like, but we got a good look at the ones they were using in the 1980s one rotation I had at NTC. And...it's basically a rubber suit, sort of like wearing a wet suit, but not as breathable and looser in fit. It was basically a heat injury waiting to happen.
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Old 06-14-2010, 07:41 PM
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And I don't have any first hand experience with the Soviet and Warsaw Pact MOPP gear but in photos it looks a lot worse than Western stuff to have to work in, and on top of that it doesn't look like it provides the same level of protection and coverage. Much as I hate doing most anything at MOPP 4 in US kit, I'm certain it would be even worse in Russian/etc kit.
I have once tried East-German MOPP suit. It was made of rubber- very cumbersome and hot gear. But it wasn’t a suit you will you use in battle. It was called “heavy protective gear” – usually used only for NBC decontamination duties. NBC warning usually only ment that we should use gas mask, rain gear and wellington boots.

The soviet way of thinking was somewhat similar. Heavy MOPP suits were only for those whose served in “chemical” units (both defensive and offensive units). Or those men who should handle liquid rocket fuel or other toxic chemicals. Infantry, artillery and armor units would have using rain gear or “light protective clothing” – which was nothing more than pair of good raincoat & pants. Soviet soldier was nothing more than slave in uniform. 10 % casualties in VX barrage would have been problem for day or two… After all German theater of war was all about armored and mechanized warfare in soviet thinking? Life span of soviet infantry man in armor unit was only two weeks in 1944 and 1945 and it wasnt a problem- why it should be problem in 1990s?

Soviets were ready to use both chemical and biological weapons. They even had ICBM with bio warheads.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biopreparat

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Novichok
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Old 06-14-2010, 10:13 PM
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Soviets were in most cases would more than likely of been the first to use Chemical, Biological, or Nukes in war in Europe. Then again there to many what ifs to add up. I can see more reason why the Soviet would used these weapons for offensive or defensive purpose depending on the battle went. Especially if they found themselves on the defensive. As was pointed out before it could explain why the offensive into Poland went so slow. The use of the weapons, also I think and when NATO reach the the Vistula River, if they hadn't used nukes by this time they would of much the same way many feared that the French would if the Soviet had reach the Rhine River.

After those two it would be toss up between the US and French in who would use their Nukes to stop a Pact advance deep into Germany. Depends on if you buy into the plans by the US to blow certain autobahn exchanges to deny the Pact high speed avenues of approach or the French just want to slow them down so they could reinforce their defenses.
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Old 06-14-2010, 10:17 PM
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Soviet Generals could care less if Regiment or two lose members because they followed too closely behind a conventional artillery barrage, so they will not lose any sleep if some units get taken out of action because they caught in the chemical/biological battlefield they created. Infantryman and even tanker can be replace eventually.
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Old 06-14-2010, 10:42 PM
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Soviets were ready to use both chemical and biological weapons. They even had ICBM with bio warheads.
Their bioweapons program was some purely terrifying lunacy. If they'd popped the Small Pox and bio-engineered, treatment resistant Plague and whatever else out of the bag the end state would probably be population density drifting below the level where the direction in the 21st century was back into living in caves and chipping flint rather than getting industrial society built back up.
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Old 06-14-2010, 11:18 PM
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The blowback from biowarfare could be so severe that it could make what's left of the world unworthwhile. It would be sheer lunacy to do it. Which is why I think some terrorist might be willing to try it...
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Old 06-15-2010, 12:47 AM
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Although we all know as much, I'll say it anyway: the Soviet attitude towards casualties was a calculated indifference. If losses had to be taken to achieve a specific end, then losses had to be taken. Throwing men away for the sake of throwing men away was not part of doctrine. If the hypothetical use of chemical weapons promised a certain benefit that outweighed the cost in manpower, we should expect the use of chemical weapons. If the perceived benefit did not outweigh the cost, then we should not expect to see the the use of chemical weapons.

On the defensive in Poland, the Soviets might well see use of persistent agents to be to their advantage. Their own people would have the advantage of prepared positions, while NATO forces would be obliged to move through contaminated areas. If anti-tank defenses obliged the NATO troops to dismount, the Pact troops in their strong points would be at a significant advantage vis-a-vis the Western dismounts.

On the other hand, the Poles would not much appreciate having their country turned into a chemical witch's brew in the name of defending it. Granted, the Soviets viewed Poland as a defensive bulwark, not an ally. However, the kind of massive civilian casualties that would result from widespread use of chemical weapons could cause some disaffection among the Poles. Someone in the Kremlin would have to decide whether the benefits of using chemical weapons in Poland would outweigh the cost.

On the other hand, the use of chemicals against NATO air bases and other critical point targets in Germany has a different logic. Heck with German casualties. The West Germans are the cause of the whole problem, while the East Germans are turncoats. Civilian casualties are to be embraced, unless they cause some other problem. If NATO retaliates with chemical attacks against Pact air bases in Poland, the issue of civilian casualties among the Poles might inspire disaffection among the Poles. Without exploring the issue in much greater depth, it's hard to predict how the Soviet-Polish relationship would be affected. It is also hard to know where the limits of chemical weapons use will be drawn. Is the exchange limited to Poland? Poland and East Germany? Poland and Germany? Poland, Germany, and Czechoslovakia? Poland, Germany, Czechoslovakia, Belarus, the Netherlands, and Denmark? Poland, Germany, Czechoslovakia, Belarus, the Ukraine, Lithuania, Denmark, the Netherlands, Norway, Turkey, Bulgaria, Romania, Jugoslavia, Greece...? Chemical escalation would have its own logic.

Lots to ponder with this one.

Webstral
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Old 06-15-2010, 02:24 AM
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I would think that for many operations, you have to strike a balance between the Soviet attitude of calculated indifference and the NATO attitude of "every casualty is a calamity." It's cold, but it's a war, and people will die. Most soldiers know that, and to an extent, accept it.

Of course, by 2000, the amount of personnel left will be down so low that every loss will be a calamity.
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Old 06-15-2010, 06:34 AM
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As good as modern military planning might be, I always look at how history has treated the "givens" of upcoming conflict.

So much of the build up and thought process between the world wars was dedicated to gas warfare. "The Great Pacific War" postulated gas bombs used from aircraft against ships and land forces. I recently acquired a book written in 1941 concerning Civil Air Raid Defense, much of which was "learned" from the British model. This book is at least half taken up by gas preparation and countermeasures.
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Old 06-15-2010, 07:10 AM
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Although we all know as much, I'll say it anyway: the Soviet attitude towards casualties was a calculated indifference. If losses had to be taken to achieve a specific end, then losses had to be taken. Throwing men away for the sake of throwing men away was not part of doctrine. If the hypothetical use of chemical weapons promised a certain benefit that outweighed the cost in manpower, we should expect the use of chemical weapons. If the perceived benefit did not outweigh the cost, then we should not expect to see the the use of chemical weapons.

On the defensive in Poland, the Soviets might well see use of persistent agents to be to their advantage. Their own people would have the advantage of prepared positions, while NATO forces would be obliged to move through contaminated areas. If anti-tank defenses obliged the NATO troops to dismount, the Pact troops in their strong points would be at a significant advantage vis-a-vis the Western dismounts.

On the other hand, the Poles would not much appreciate having their country turned into a chemical witch's brew in the name of defending it. Granted, the Soviets viewed Poland as a defensive bulwark, not an ally. However, the kind of massive civilian casualties that would result from widespread use of chemical weapons could cause some disaffection among the Poles. Someone in the Kremlin would have to decide whether the benefits of using chemical weapons in Poland would outweigh the cost.

On the other hand, the use of chemicals against NATO air bases and other critical point targets in Germany has a different logic. Heck with German casualties. The West Germans are the cause of the whole problem, while the East Germans are turncoats. Civilian casualties are to be embraced, unless they cause some other problem. If NATO retaliates with chemical attacks against Pact air bases in Poland, the issue of civilian casualties among the Poles might inspire disaffection among the Poles. Without exploring the issue in much greater depth, it's hard to predict how the Soviet-Polish relationship would be affected. It is also hard to know where the limits of chemical weapons use will be drawn. Is the exchange limited to Poland? Poland and East Germany? Poland and Germany? Poland, Germany, and Czechoslovakia? Poland, Germany, Czechoslovakia, Belarus, the Netherlands, and Denmark? Poland, Germany, Czechoslovakia, Belarus, the Ukraine, Lithuania, Denmark, the Netherlands, Norway, Turkey, Bulgaria, Romania, Jugoslavia, Greece...? Chemical escalation would have its own logic.

Lots to ponder with this one.

Webstral
You are quite right that if the lose met a means it is totally acceptable. Didn't mean for it to come of they could care less about all loses.

Yes that was my point once you let the genie out of the bottle where would the sanity take hold or would it escalate until crosses the threshold of no return.
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Old 06-15-2010, 07:52 AM
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"In December (1996), when the first American units crossed the East German, the situation drastically changed. The United States and the Soviet Union were at war, and CENTCOM's deployment would be delayed until after the first of the year (all available transport was needed to support the war in Europe).

General Suryakin took advantage of the situation. The lead division of the 7th Guards Army advanced into nortwestern Iran, and encountered fanatical resistance from the Pasdaran militia. The Soviets countered this by using chemical weapons on a massive scale as they had in China."


RDF Sourcebook page 4.
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Old 06-15-2010, 08:22 AM
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As good as modern military planning might be, I always look at how history has treated the "givens" of upcoming conflict.

So much of the build up and thought process between the world wars was dedicated to gas warfare. "The Great Pacific War" postulated gas bombs used from aircraft against ships and land forces. I recently acquired a book written in 1941 concerning Civil Air Raid Defense, much of which was "learned" from the British model. This book is at least half taken up by gas preparation and countermeasures.
The overall plan for the invasion of Japan that would have taken place if the atom bombs hadn't been dropped called for the use of chemical weapons by the Allies on selected Japanese cities, industrial facilities, and suspected strongpoints. So we didn't have our potential hands clean in that one either.
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Old 06-15-2010, 08:16 PM
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The plan for gas in DOWNFALL was not finalized, but Hap Arnold was on record as being against strategic use, as the industrial targets meant to be hit by gas would've been burned out by B-29s anyway. Limited, tactical use of gas was far more likely, and troops going ashore would've had masks, protective suits and gloves, and four Liberty ships with gas munitions were to be offshore on X-Day in Kyushu (scheduled for 1 Nov 45). After Iwo and Okinawa, the plan was to use gas on those cave and bunker defenses that had resisted all other efforts to subdue (i.e. the "blowtorch and screwdriver" method of flame throwers, explosive charges, and direct fire from tanks and artillery), that were in the line of advance. The agents used were likely to have been Phosgene and Cyanogen Chloride. And in tests at Dugway in Utah, those agents were tested against mockup cave and bunker defenses, with gas concentrations five to ten times as dense inside the cave as one got outside, enough to penetrate gas mask filters and kill masked Japanese. All that one needed was formal Presidential Approval, but that had not been given prior to the Japanese surrender.
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Old 06-15-2010, 08:36 PM
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IIRC, there was an incident during the invasion of Italy in '43 when a German bomber hit a supply ship in port filled with poison gas, dispersing it. I seem to remember reading something about this in Rick Atkinson's The Day of Battle. So it would seem that the Americans, at least, brought poison gas supplies with them in other theatres as a "just in case" measure.
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Old 06-15-2010, 10:16 PM
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Haven't heard about it, but it makes sense -- if the other side had gone hot on chemical weapons, it would have been a bad scene to be waiting on stuff from CONUS, or even the UK, to respond.
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Old 06-15-2010, 10:25 PM
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There were also stocks of chemical weapons in the Pacific, especialy when the buildup for Operation Coronet and Olympic were being readied.

They also are working on destroying some of the stockpiles stored at the chemical munitions depots, many of which have been obsolete since WWII and a few items when I did the study had been obsolete prior to WWII.

Another thing to consider,

We had chemical weapons units in theater in WWII. Most of the time their job was to send in smoke. But, I would imagine where one finds those troops, their assets ie chemical weapons would be near.
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Old 06-16-2010, 12:28 AM
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IIRC, there was an incident during the invasion of Italy in '43 when a German bomber hit a supply ship in port filled with poison gas, dispersing it. I seem to remember reading something about this in Rick Atkinson's The Day of Battle. So it would seem that the Americans, at least, brought poison gas supplies with them in other theatres as a "just in case" measure.
That was Bari, Italy. A good book on it, Disaster at Bari.

There is a wikipedia entry on it - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_Raid_on_Bari

From the article: "One of the destroyed vessels, the US Liberty ship John Harvey, had been carrying a secret cargo of 2,000 M47A1 World War I type mustard gas bombs, each of which held 30-35kg (60-70 lb) of sulfur mustard. This cargo had been sent to Europe to retaliate if Germany resorted to chemical warfare."
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Old 06-16-2010, 12:55 AM
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Quote:
We had chemical weapons units in theater in WWII. Most of the time their job was to send in smoke. But, I would imagine where one finds those troops, their assets ie chemical weapons would be near.
If I remember right, some of the WW2 Ranger battalions had 4.2" Chemical Mortar companies attached to augment their limited organic support weapons, also.
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Old 06-16-2010, 02:34 AM
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We should assume, and I believe always have, that the Soviets used chemical weapons in Europe prior to the nuclear exchange. We should assume that the use of chemical weapons would be dictated by Soviet perception of advantage. Perhaps they don't use chemicals against the West Germans in 1996 because the other Western Allies are still on the sidelines. It's hard to say how things would shape up once the Anglo-Americans get involved. I'm certain the Soviets would use chemicals in Poland, although I can't say how that would play out for them without investing some real time and energy.

The Soviets and the Chinese start the Sino-Soviet War with darned significant chemical exchanges. We should expect that the Soviets would use their chemical weapons in accordance with doctrine, more or less. We should expect that the Chinese will retaliate in a manner that fits their needs. Since chemical contamination slows everything down, and since the Chinese possess the ability to respond in kind, the Soviets probably find that use of chemicals on the front lines is not to their advantage. The same probably is true in Iran, once the Iranians begin to retaliate with chemical weapons. (If the Iranians experience any technical difficulties, it's not hard to see the West or China providing needed assistance.)

The Pact probably uses chemical weapons in the Balkans. Again, how this shapes up depends a good deal on how effectively the Romanians and Jugoslavs hurt the Pact back.

Webstral
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Old 06-16-2010, 01:12 PM
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I would think that it would be at Corps, Army or Army Group level depots. And used as a stratiegic weapon for a special operation.

Now, once things start to breakdown and units loose their comand and control as well as cohesion as it relates to nationality and higher headquarters <Remember a large majority of the pact forces hate each other> we could find signifigant quantities of chemical weapons in the hands of the higher levels of comand or what is left of them or even the depot/forces who controlled these upper level depots where these weapons were stored. This could be a very interesting twist to a campaign for sure.

Now, we could also toss these weapons into the hands of a commander fresh from the Asian theater of operations and he has little reguard for life or no fear of the stigma associated with using chemical weapons.

And then we have the commander who has such weapons but has no desire to sink to the level of using such weapons and thus he keeps his stockpile secure.

And then we have the tactical leader who will use such weapons but only in sdmall spurts to gain a tactical advantage, but never really willing to go all out. Much like the game history says the threshold of nuclear war occured.
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